Know before
you ship.
Model how your on-chain users respond — before the decision is made.
Economic actor personas derived from real on-chain wallet clusters. 14 Web3-native risk indicators. A verdict with an amended proposal. Before your community reacts on-chain.
Protocols ship blind. Communities pay the price.
TVL lost to poorly simulated governance decisions in 2024
of DAO proposals that pass still trigger unexpected community exits
tools that simulate on-chain user behavior before a decision ships
Five stages. One verdict.
Intelligence Gathering
We pull your protocol's on-chain data, tokenomics, governance history, and competitive position automatically.
Persona Generation
Real wallet clusters become economic actor personas. Whales, farmers, loyalists, degens — derived from your actual user base.
Decision Simulation
Each persona reacts to your proposed change. Behavioral predictions, confidence scores, capital impact estimates.
Indicator Computation
14 Web3-native risk metrics computed across the full persona set. Liquidity flight risk, cascade risk, governance swing score, and more.
Verdict + Playbook
Go, Caution, or Pivot. If Pivot — an amended proposal optimized for retention, ready to re-simulate.
Every dimension of risk. Computed.
Not sentiment scores. Web3-native metrics that quantify capital risk, governance outcomes, and competitive exposure.
Liquidity Flight Risk
Estimated TVL at risk of withdrawal within 7 days, in dollar terms.
Capital-Weighted Sentiment
Sentiment weighted by position size — a whale's reaction outweighs 1,000 retail holders.
Mercenary Capital Index
Percentage of users who are purely yield-driven with zero protocol loyalty.
Governance Swing Score
If this persona cluster votes, does it flip the proposal outcome?
Cascade Risk
Leveraged personas whose outflows could trigger liquidations and further exits.
Competitor Capture Rate
Of personas predicted to exit, what percentage go to a named competitor?
Governance Apathy Rate
Percentage of affected holders who won't engage with any mitigation even if offered.
Proposal Survival Probability
If this decision goes to a governance vote as written, does it pass?
Fee Elasticity Score
How sensitive is this specific user base to the exact fee change proposed.
Retention Core Size
The minimum loyal base that stays regardless — the protocol's floor.
Polarization Index
Is the community splitting into hard camps or aligning around a center?
Liquidity Concentration Risk
How much TVL is held by the top 5% of personas — exit risk if whales disagree.
Behavioral Lag Index
How quickly will reactions materialize — immediate (hours) vs delayed (weeks).
Net Protocol Value Score
Composite score: does this decision grow or shrink the protocol's long-term economic base?
Built for anyone who ships on-chain.
Protocol Teams
Before shipping a fee change, emission cut, or new product launch. Arrive at the version that retains liquidity.
DAOs & Governance Contributors
Before submitting a proposal. Predict the vote outcome. Refine until it passes.
Investors & Analysts
Model how a protocol's user base reacts to a competitor's move before the market prices it in.
From decision to verdict in seconds.
Personas Generated
Simulation Feed
Verdict
PIVOT
Liquidity Flight Risk
$45M
Proposal Survival
31%
Re-simulated with amended 0.02% tiered fee.
Uniswap — introduce a 0.05% protocol fee on all swaps → PIVOT → Re-simulated with 0.02% tiered fee → GO